Father's Day Service Plays 06/21/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

June 21, 2009

Hondo, who'd been all wet lately, was singing in the rain yesterday when the Rays reigned in the big Citi to inflate the bankroll to 330 tovars.

Today, Mr. Aitch is talkin' Jay-walkin' with Romero over the Nats -- 10 units on Toronto.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
28-14 run on Bonus Plays

SUN Toronto Blue Jays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Milwaukee (37-31) at Detroit (37-31)

The leaders of the A.L. and N.L. Central Divisions wrap up their three-game series with a pair of aces on the mound, as the Tigers’ Justin Verlander (7-3, 3.39 ERA) opposes Yovani Gallardo (7-3, 2.93) at Comerica Park.

Detroit followed up Friday’s 10-4, rain-shortened victory with Saturday’s 9-5 rout, winning for the third straight game while scoring 25 runs in the process. Jim Leyland’s club carries positive streaks of 48-21 in interleague action, 39-13 in home interleague contests and 8-2 on Sunday, but it is still just 4-6 in its last 10 at home and 3-6 in its last nine at Comerica against right-handers.

Milwaukee has followed up a three-game sweep in Cleveland with the consecutive losses to the Tigers and is now 4-8 in its last 12 contests. Also, in interleague play, the Brew Crew is mired in slumps of 4-11 on the highway and 1-7 against right-handed starters.

These teams split six total meetings in 2006 and 2007, with the visitor going 4-2.

Detroit is 1-2 in Verlander’s last three starts, following a 7-1 run behind the 26-year-old. On Tuesday at St. Louis, the right-hander allowed five runs on eight hits and two walks in just four innings of an 11-2 loss. Prior to that, Verlander had thrown nine straight quality starts, going 7-0 with a 1.10 ERA.

Verlander is 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA in three home starts this year. And in his lone start against Milwaukee, he threw a complete-game shutout in a 4-0 home win two years ago. Detroit is 8-3 in Verlander’s last 11 starts overall and 5-1 in his last six home starts.

Milwaukee is 8-2 in Gallardo’s last 10 starts, including Tuesday’s 7-5 victory at Cleveland in which the right-hander allowed two runs on five hits with six walks and eight strikeouts. Gallardo has given up two earned runs or less in each of his last five starts, going 3-1 with a stifling 1.43 ERA. Gallardo is 4-1 with a 2.89 ERA in seven road starts this year, and this is his first meeting against Detroit.

With Gallardo starting, the Brewers are on runs of 5-0 against winning teams and 4-1 on the highway.

Although Saturday’s game easily went over the total, the Tigers sport nothing but “under” trends, including 21-11 overall, 10-4 at home, 8-4 against right-handed starters, 7-4 in interleague play and 5-0 in Verlander’s last five home starts. On the flip side, the over for Milwaukee is on runs of 6-0 overall (all against the A.L. Central and all on the road. However, with Gallardo pitching, the under is on streaks of 15-7 overall, 11-3 and 7-1 against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


L.A. Dodgers (45-24) at L.A. Angels (36-30)

The Dodgers, with the best record in the majors, wrap up their three-game weekend set against the Angels by pitting left-hander Clayton Kershaw (3-5, 4.13 ERA) against veteran right-hander John Lackey (2-2, 6.10) in Anaheim.

The Dodgers halted their rivals seven-game winning streak with last night’s 6-2 victory, as veteran right-hander Jeff Weaver outdueled younger brother Jered Weaver. The Dodgers are now 12-5 in their last 17 road games, but they remain on interleague slides of 21-44 overall (6-5 this year) and 14-38 on the road (3-2 this year).

Although their winning streak ended Saturday, the Angels continue to sport positive streaks of 5-1 at home, 8-2 in interleague play this season (all against the N.L. West), 39-18 overall in interleague action and 19-8 versus the N.L. West.

The Angels have owned this rivalry lately, with runs of 13-6 overall (3-2 this season), 21-8 in Anaheim, 5-1 with Lackey starting against the Dodgers and 4-0 in Lackey’s last five against the Dodgers at home.

Lackey beat San Francisco 9-7 victory on Monday, allowing three runs on 10 hits with no walks and 10 strikeouts in seven innings. In his lone home start this season, Lackey lost 5-2 to Seattle on May 29. However, he’s 5-1 with a solid 1.50 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) against the Dodgers. On May 23, he got a no-decision at Dodger Stadium, allowing three runs in seven innings, with the Angels falling 5-4.

With Lackey taking the ball, the Angels are on runs of 17-5 in interleague play and 18-7 on Sunday, but they are also on skids of 4-10 overall and 0-4 at home.

Kershaw rebounded from two straight losses by leading the Dodgers to a 5-4 home win over Oakland on Tuesday, throwing 5 2/3 shutout innings as he worked four hits and three walks around 10 strikeouts, but he got a no-decision. The 21-year-old is 2-3 with an inflated 6.75 ERA in six road starts this season, and in his only career start against the Angels, he got a no-decision in a 3-1 defeat, giving up a run on four hits and four walks in five innings.

With Kershaw on the hill, the Dodgers are on slides of 1-4 against winning teams and 1-4 in interleague play, though they have won four of his last five Sunday starts.

The Dodgers are on “under” runs of 6-2 on the highway, 12-5 in interleague action, 38-16-3 in American League parks and 13-7 versus the N.L. West. Also, the under for the Angels is on stretches of 11-6 at home, 5-1 in Lackey’s last six home starts, 16-5-3 behind Lackey in interleague play and 7-1 with Lackey facing the Dodgers.

Finally, although the first two games of this weekend set have gone over the total, the under is still 9-6 in the last 15 meetings overall and 14-7-1 in the last 22 battles in Anaheim.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER

 

[brady1983]

Larry Ness' LEGEND Play


LEGEND Play 25* LA Angels.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RatedPicks

Minn Twins -125
St Louis Cardinals -105
Oak A's/ SD Padres OVER 7.5
Pitt Pirates +130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL

LA Dodgers at LA Angels
The Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games versus teams with a winning record and look to take advantage of a Dodger club (45-24 SU) that is just 1-4 in Clayton Kershaw's last 5 interleague starts. The Angels are the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120)

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 16.139; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.089
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+135); Over

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.550; Detroit (Verlander) 14.541
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Over

Game 905-906: Chicago White Sox at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 14.114; Cincinnati (Harang) 14.591
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over

Game 907-908: Tampa Bay at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.299; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.078
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Under

Game 909-910: Atlanta at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.572; Boston (Wakefield) 15.278
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+130); Under

Game 911-912: Toronto at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.158; Washington (Martis) 16.381
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); Under

Game 913-914: Baltimore at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.772; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.457
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-185); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-185); Under

Game 915-916: Houston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 15.082; Minnesota (Perkins) 15.959
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over

Game 917-918: St. Louis at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 13.877; Kansas City (Meche) 13.922
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Under

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 14.682; Cubs (Wells) 16.285
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-165); N/A

Game 921-922: Texas at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 15.645; San Francisco (Zito) 14.636
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150); Under

Game 923-924: Oakland at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 14.148; San Diego (Correia) 14.368
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

Game 925-926: Arizona at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 14.659; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.533
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-185); Under

Game 927-928: NY Yankees at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.279; Florida (Volstad) 16.369
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+170); Over

Game 929-930: LA Dodgers at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.889; LA Angels (Lackey) 17.131
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Over


WNBA

Seattle at Phoenix

The Storm take on the Mercury (5-1 SU) look to build on their 10-3 ATS record in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+1 1/2)

Game 601-602: San Antonio at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 106.991; Connecticut 114.694
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 137 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 10; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+10); Under

Game 603-604: New York at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.380; Atlanta 113.925
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Detroit at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.402; Indiana 114.411
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 135
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2); Under

Game 607-608: Seattle at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 115.709; Phoenix 113.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 170
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+1 1/2); Over

Game 609-610: Sacramento at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.244; Los Angeles 113.690
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 138 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+4 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Play

Padres

 

[MMfan]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Jack Clayton</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Sunday, June 21, 2009
Guaranteed: Sunday's baseball slate finds a DYNAMITE TOTAL that oddsmakers completely missed. This is a terrible total that oddsmakers whiffed on, so go inside the numbers and exploit this 3-Star Baseball Terrible Total, then cash! </TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>6/20/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>3* (903) Brewers at (904) Tigers: Detroit is a terrific park for pitchers, a large outfield, and for this game BOTH teams have an ace on the hill. Milwaukee righty Yovani Gallardo is quietly having a great season, at 7-3 for the first place Brewers with a 2.93 ERA. He doesn't walk anyone, is super-tough to hit and has 85 Ks in 83 innings. The Tiger offense has been slumping all season and needs to face a weak starter to get going, but that's not the case here. Magglio Ordonez said on his benching this week, 'It's embarrassing.' He is 35 and in the middle of a clearly miserable season at the plate, at least relative to Ordonez's past skills, with just 11 extra-base hits and he has two home runs. It has been a baffling exhibition and it has been on display since Ordonez joined the Tigers full-time following March's World Baseball Classic. At least they have ace Justin Verlander going, with a 2.57 ERA his last three starts, plus for the season he has 110 Ks in 90 innings. Look for a lot of strikeouts and few runs. Play the Brewers/Tigers Under the total. </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Mets
Blue Jays
Angels

 

[bloodsweatandbeers]

happy fathers day to all the dads out there!!!!!!!!!!!! enjoy your day and hopefully all the winners to!!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. A's

Sunday, June 21, 2009 2:10 PM EST.
St. Louis Cardinals (38-31) at Kansas City Royals (29-38)
(R) Adam Wainwright (7-4) vs. (R) Gil Meche (4-5)
Oddsmakers: St. Louis as a -115 road favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

St. Louis Cardinals -115

Sunday, June 21, 2009 4:10 PM EST.
Arizona Diamondbacks (29-40) at Seattle Mariners (34-34)
(L) Doug Davis (3-8) vs. (R) Felix Hernandez (7-3)
Oddsmakers: Seattle as a -160 home favorite with the total listed at 7½ 'over'.

Seattle Mariners -160

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gina

Sunday, June 21st, 2009 1:35 p.m. est.

Atlanta Braves (32-35) at Boston Red Sox (41-27)
(R) Jair Jurrjens (5-5) vs. (R) Tim Wakefield (9-3)

The Red Sox have taken nine of the last 12 meetings against the Braves and will send knuckleballer Tim Wakefield to the hill. The right-hander has had problems in the past with the Braves, but hasn’t met Atlanta since 2005. Wakefield (9-3, 4.39 ERA) is 3-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last three starts and the Red Sox have won ten of Wakefield’s last 12 starts. Atlanta counters with Jair Jurrjens (5-5, 2.89). The right-hander is 0-3 with a 4.20 ERA in his last three starts. Jurrjens has never faced the Red Sox. Go with Boston at home with veteran Tim Wakefield at the helm. The Red Sox are 11-2 in Wakefield’s last 13 interleague starts.

Boston Red Sox -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Boston Red Sox -135
Minnesota Twins -130
New York Yankees -180

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kiki Sports

2* Texas

 

[MMfan]

Thanks for all your hard work with these threads. :toast:
Happy Father's Day

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

David Banks

Rockies (BEST BET KEY PLAY)
Brewers
Braves
Bluejays
Rangers
Dodgers

 

[jordan17]

Happy Fathers day!

Cpaw & Rx is the best!

:toast:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kosmo

ALL MLB PLAYS LISTED PITCHERS

6-21-09

Philadelphia -1.5 +125 1 unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer's IL HIGH-ROLLER **GAME OF THE YEAR!** (3-0, 100%)
I'm laying the price with the Rangers on Sunday. I'm laying the price with the Rangers, my High-Roller Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott